TrueGradient optimizes the timing, depth, and breadth of every markdown for sell-through and residual margin, and connects markdown to forecasting and supply plan so you take fewer of them to begin with.
A markdown is where a season's planning errors get settled. Clear too slowly and stock dies in the warehouse; discount too fast and you give away margin you could have kept. Most teams manage this in a spreadsheet on a fixed end-of-season calendar. TrueGradient optimizes each markdown against live sell-through, and, because it shares a model with your demand and supply plans, helps you avoid the excess that forces the markdown in the first place.
Every markdown is the same trade: velocity against value. Cut price and inventory clears faster, but every point of discount is margin gone for good. Leave it too long and the product loses relevance, the storage cost mounts, and you end up liquidating at a fraction of cost. TrueGradient finds the point on that curve where clearing the stock and protecting the residual margin are best balanced, per SKU, per store, per week, using measured price elasticity rather than a flat “20% off everything” rule. The mechanics of the price response underneath it are set out in decoding price elasticity.
A markdown decision has three levers, and getting any one wrong wastes the other two. TrueGradient optimizes all three together: the timing (when to start the markdown so the curve of remaining sell-through justifies it); the depth (how deep to cut so the volume lift is worth the margin sacrificed); and the breadth (which SKUs, sizes, and stores to include), since a size-broken or region-heavy inventory position needs a surgical markdown, not a blanket one. The platform models the full markdown schedule forward and recommends the sequence of price steps that clears the stock by the deadline at the highest recoverable margin.
Start each markdown when the projected sell-through curve says it pays, not on a fixed calendar date.
The discount that clears the units without over-discounting the demand you already had.
The SKUs, sizes, and stores to include, tuned to where the excess actually sits.
The worst markdown strategy is the most common one: wait until end of season, then discount everything at once in a panic. By then the best clearance windows are gone and the residual value has already decayed. TrueGradient monitors sell-through continuously and recommends smaller, earlier, better-targeted markdowns while the product still has pulling power, turning a single end-of-season cliff into a managed glide path. The result is more inventory cleared at higher average margin, and far less of the dead stock that ends the season as a write-off. Where excess is stranded in the wrong locations, it also coordinates with stock rebalancing before a markdown is even needed.
The cheapest markdown is the one you never have to take. Excess inventory is not a pricing problem; it is a forecasting, assortment, and allocation problem that becomes a pricing problem at the end of the season. Because TrueGradient runs markdown on the same model as AI demand forecasting, assortment optimization, and replenishment and allocation, the buy is closer to real demand, the assortment carries less of what will not sell, and stock lands where it will actually move, so there is less to clear before the markdown even starts.
Predictable, blanket markdowns teach your best customers to stop paying full price. Every “everything must go” sale that could have been a targeted clearance chips away at the brand and pulls forward margin you would have earned at full price. TrueGradient markets down what genuinely needs to move, when it needs to move, at the shallowest depth that clears it, protecting both the margin on the marked-down units and the full-price integrity of everything else. Markdown becomes a controlled tool, not a reflex, consistent with the demand-shaping ideas in demand transference and the halo effect.
Markdown is hardest exactly where it matters most: fashion, apparel, and footwear, where products have a hard sell-by date, no repeat history, and a size-and-color matrix that clears unevenly. A blanket markdown leaves the wrong sizes on the rack and clears the hero sizes too cheaply. TrueGradient markets down at the size and store level, respecting the residual value of a broken size run differently from a full one. For D2C and fast-growth brands, the same discipline is what let one Shopify brand cut inventory 41% in 12 months without resorting to constant discounting.
Real markdown work is governed and constrained: price-ladder rules, minimum margins, competitor floors, regional compliance, and a merchant who needs to override with a reason on record. TrueGradient is built for it: explainable recommendations a planner can defend, guardrails and rounding rules enforced automatically, agentic monitoring that flags a markdown running ahead of or behind its sell-through target while there is still time to adjust, and no-code, self-serve configuration so teams set the markdown calendar and rules without a long implementation.
Defend every markdown recommendation; no black box.
Price ladders, margin floors, and rounding applied automatically.
Catch a markdown running off its sell-through target while you can still act.
Better markdown decisions compound through margin recovery, sell-through, and upstream inventory, from inventory optimization to end-of-life clearance. With TrueGradient, fashion and retail teams consistently see:
Higher gross margin recovery on cleared inventory by optimizing timing, depth, and breadth.
Higher sell-through at the season deadline, with less left to liquidate.
Fewer markdowns needed because forecasting, assortment, and allocation shrink the excess upstream.
Weeks, not quarters to a live markdown cycle vs the 12–18 month enterprise implementations the incumbents require.
“TrueGradient has played a pivotal role in driving seasonal sales for Kisah by minimizing stockouts with accurate demand predictions and stock planning.”
A fast-growth Shopify brand cut inventory 41% in 12 months without constant discounting; the same discipline that keeps end-of-life markdowns surgical instead of reflexive.
Read the story →Kisah improved forecast accuracy and achieved 2× peak-season sales growth with TrueGradient’s connected planning across demand, inventory, and markdown decisions.
Read the case study →Markdown is the final stage of the price lifecycle. The base price the markdown clears against sets the full-price foundation, promotion optimization flexes it temporarily to drive volume, and markdown clears what is left at the end of the lifecycle. Running all three on one elasticity model keeps them coherent, so a markdown does not quietly undo a promotion, and the clearance plan respects the margin the base price was built to protect. And because markdown also connects to inventory optimization and merchandise financial planning, the residual value it recovers flows straight back into the financial plan.
The everyday price that anchors full-price integrity: the hub of the pricing lifecycle markdown closes.
Explore Base Price Optimization →Temporary consumer price cuts that return to base: the stage before end-of-lifecycle clearance.
Explore Promotion Optimization →Shrink excess and dead-stock risk upstream so fewer seasons end in forced markdowns.
Explore Inventory Optimization →Send us a season of sales and inventory data, and we will show you the markdown schedule (timing, depth, and breadth) that would have cleared your stock at the highest recovered margin, and how much markdown you could have avoided altogether.
For Shopify Brands
Optimize inventory, prevent stockouts, and boost profits.
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TrueGradient is a no-code self-serve AI product for supply chain optimization founded in 2023.
